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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.10+5.18vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.66+9.69vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.37+9.69vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.38+4.49vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+3.78vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.77+1.26vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.07-0.86vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.49+0.19vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.64-4.69vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.72-2.42vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.60+0.68vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.40-6.68vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.73+1.27vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+1.43vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.07-5.27vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-3.83vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-8.47vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.27-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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11.69Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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12.69Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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8.49Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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7.26Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.14Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.19Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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4.31Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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7.58Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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11.68Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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5.32Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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14.27Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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15.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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12.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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12.56University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 8.3% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.6% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Maks Groom | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.2% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 3.1% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 4.9% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 13.4% | 20.1% | 22.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 43.2% |
| Miles Williams | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Jack Derry | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 5.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.