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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.40+4.27vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+6.60vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.07+3.26vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.07+5.74vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+3.81vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.73+8.38vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.10-0.92vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.64-3.68vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.49-0.82vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.77-2.56vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.27+1.81vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+0.52vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.38-4.47vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.72-6.81vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.60-3.46vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.38vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.37-4.50vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.66-6.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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6.26Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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8.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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14.38Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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6.08Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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4.32Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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8.18Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.44Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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12.81University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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12.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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8.53Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.19Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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11.54Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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15.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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12.5Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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11.21Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Maks Groom | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 19.3% | 23.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.8% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 8.2% |
| Jack Derry | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 8.2% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 4.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 17.9% | 42.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 8.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.