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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.42+2.86vs Predicted
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2Rice University0.75+4.91vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.50+0.79vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.45-0.26vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.17-0.75vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.10-3.29vs Predicted
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7University of Texas1.63-1.66vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.25-2.02vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.80-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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6.91Rice University0.750.0%1st Place
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3.79Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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3.74Tulane University2.450.2%1st Place
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4.25Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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2.71College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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5.34University of Texas1.630.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Wisconsin1.250.1%1st Place
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8.43Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zander King | 14.8% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Ricky Miller | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 38.5% | 13.8% |
| Thad Lettsome | 13.9% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Kelly Holthus | 15.6% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Owen Bannasch | 12.1% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 5.6% | 0.6% |
| Noah Zittrer | 29.0% | 24.2% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Froelich | 6.3% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 21.1% | 12.3% | 2.4% |
| Charlie Herrick | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 20.3% | 24.1% | 6.1% |
| Jacob Granberry | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 11.9% | 76.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.