Race 2A

sugar-bowl-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Noah Zittrer 27.6% 24.3% 19.7% 12.5% 8.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Owen Bannasch 8.2% 11.0% 15.3% 14.9% 15.0% 17.8% 10.6% 6.1% 1.1%
Zander King 14.8% 15.2% 14.2% 17.1% 13.8% 12.7% 8.6% 3.2% 0.4%
Ricky Miller 2.6% 3.2% 4.0% 6.5% 8.0% 9.1% 20.1% 35.2% 11.3%
Kelly Holthus 16.7% 18.5% 14.7% 13.2% 15.1% 11.2% 6.3% 3.8% 0.5%
Thad Lettsome 16.2% 15.9% 17.6% 16.1% 13.9% 11.2% 6.2% 2.7% 0.2%
Charlie Herrick 5.1% 3.9% 6.1% 7.7% 10.2% 14.1% 23.2% 24.2% 5.5%
Ethan Froelich 7.8% 7.3% 7.5% 10.7% 14.3% 16.0% 18.6% 14.2% 3.6%
Jacob Granberry 1.0% 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 2.9% 4.4% 10.0% 77.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.