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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.64+6.99vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.78+5.48vs Predicted
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3University of Florida3.41+5.85vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy4.09+2.18vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.17+0.95vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University4.01+0.55vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.70+0.55vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.98-1.44vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.74-4.74vs Predicted
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10Stanford University4.05-3.38vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.27-1.76vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan3.02-1.71vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles2.63-1.89vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.42+0.53vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota2.63-3.71vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.99-0.36vs Predicted
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17Ohio State University0.81-1.02vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University1.27-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.99College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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7.48Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
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6.18U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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5.95Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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6.55Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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7.55Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.56Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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4.26Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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6.62Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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9.24Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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11.11University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
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14.53Tulane University1.420.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Minnesota2.630.0%1st Place
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15.64Western Washington University0.990.0%1st Place
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15.98Ohio State University0.810.0%1st Place
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14.93Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Stokes | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 18.7% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 10.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Alley | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Seago | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Philip Krause | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 19.2% | 14.5% |
| Harrison Burton | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Ian Reeves | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 17.1% | 24.8% | 28.7% |
| Sydney Rush | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 14.9% | 22.1% | 38.0% |
| Robert Long | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 23.7% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.