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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota-0.33+1.81vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-0.08+0.57vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.96+1.64vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas0.88-2.31vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.85-0.47vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-2.06-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81University of Minnesota-0.3316.0%1st Place
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2.57University of Chicago-0.0821.4%1st Place
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4.64Marquette University-1.963.0%1st Place
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1.69University of Saint Thomas0.8853.3%1st Place
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4.53Northwestern University-1.853.3%1st Place
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4.77Marquette University-2.063.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Johansen | 16.0% | 25.5% | 30.2% | 19.7% | 7.3% | 1.3% |
| Holden Higgins | 21.4% | 29.6% | 27.8% | 14.1% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
| Gwen Busch | 3.0% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 21.6% | 28.6% | 32.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 53.3% | 29.5% | 12.6% | 4.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sean Bascoe | 3.3% | 5.7% | 11.5% | 22.3% | 28.8% | 28.4% |
| Stella Brown | 3.0% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 18.2% | 28.6% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.