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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.42+2.90vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.45+1.96vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.50+0.77vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.25+1.88vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.10-2.31vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.17-1.73vs Predicted
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7Rice University0.75-0.18vs Predicted
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8University of Texas1.63-2.71vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.80-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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3.96Tulane University2.450.1%1st Place
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3.77Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
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2.69College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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4.27Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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6.82Rice University0.750.0%1st Place
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5.29University of Texas1.630.1%1st Place
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8.42Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zander King | 14.8% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Holthus | 10.5% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Thad Lettsome | 14.4% | 18.3% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Herrick | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 23.4% | 21.6% | 4.9% |
| Noah Zittrer | 33.0% | 22.6% | 16.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 4.7% | 0.3% |
| Ricky Miller | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 17.7% | 37.2% | 13.9% |
| Ethan Froelich | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 3.2% |
| Jacob Granberry | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 11.2% | 76.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.