Race 5A

sugar-bowl-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Kelly Holthus 15.1% 15.3% 16.9% 14.7% 14.8% 12.4% 7.7% 2.9% 0.2%
Thad Lettsome 12.0% 16.6% 18.1% 16.8% 13.7% 11.3% 7.4% 4.0% 0.1%
Zander King 13.4% 16.5% 15.8% 13.9% 16.6% 11.6% 8.6% 3.4% 0.2%
Charlie Herrick 4.5% 5.6% 6.5% 9.5% 10.4% 13.6% 22.5% 22.3% 5.1%
Noah Zittrer 33.1% 22.2% 16.1% 11.2% 8.5% 6.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Ethan Froelich 6.5% 8.1% 7.8% 12.8% 12.7% 16.5% 19.1% 14.1% 2.4%
Owen Bannasch 11.1% 11.6% 14.1% 15.5% 15.3% 15.1% 11.2% 5.5% 0.6%
Ricky Miller 3.5% 3.4% 3.5% 4.2% 6.5% 10.9% 17.7% 36.6% 13.7%
Jacob Granberry 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 2.5% 3.6% 10.7% 77.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.