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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.45+2.84vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.42+2.02vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.50+0.78vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.10-1.33vs Predicted
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5University of Texas1.63+0.19vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.17-1.70vs Predicted
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7Rice University0.75-0.19vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.80+0.43vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.25-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Tulane University2.450.2%1st Place
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4.02Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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3.78Tulane University2.500.2%1st Place
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2.67College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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5.19University of Texas1.630.1%1st Place
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4.3Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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6.81Rice University0.750.0%1st Place
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8.43Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.800.0%1st Place
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5.98University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Holthus | 15.7% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Zander King | 12.1% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Thad Lettsome | 16.3% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Noah Zittrer | 30.2% | 24.7% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Froelich | 6.2% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 3.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 11.6% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Ricky Miller | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 38.5% | 12.9% |
| Jacob Granberry | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 11.4% | 76.0% |
| Charlie Herrick | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 22.3% | 22.3% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.