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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.45+2.82vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.42+2.05vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.17+1.34vs Predicted
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4Rice University0.75+2.65vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.50-1.31vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.25-0.05vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.10-4.27vs Predicted
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8University of Texas1.63-2.67vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.80-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Tulane University2.450.2%1st Place
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4.05Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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4.34Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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6.65Rice University0.750.0%1st Place
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3.69Tulane University2.500.2%1st Place
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5.95University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
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2.73College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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5.33University of Texas1.630.1%1st Place
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8.43Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Holthus | 15.3% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 0.1% |
| Zander King | 11.3% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Owen Bannasch | 10.7% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 0.5% |
| Ricky Miller | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 17.1% | 35.7% | 12.0% |
| Thad Lettsome | 17.8% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Charlie Herrick | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 23.0% | 22.9% | 5.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 29.4% | 23.7% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Froelich | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 14.5% | 3.7% |
| Jacob Granberry | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 10.4% | 77.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.