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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+1.76vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.42+2.06vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.45+0.83vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.17+0.27vs Predicted
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5Rice University0.75+1.65vs Predicted
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6University of Texas1.63-0.73vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.50-3.26vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.25-2.00vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.80-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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4.06Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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3.83Tulane University2.450.2%1st Place
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4.27Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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6.65Rice University0.750.0%1st Place
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5.27University of Texas1.630.1%1st Place
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3.74Tulane University2.500.2%1st Place
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6.0University of Wisconsin1.250.1%1st Place
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8.42Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 29.1% | 24.1% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zander King | 11.4% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Kelly Holthus | 15.2% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Owen Bannasch | 12.4% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Ricky Miller | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 16.5% | 34.0% | 13.8% |
| Ethan Froelich | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 14.7% | 1.7% |
| Thad Lettsome | 15.7% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Herrick | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 21.3% | 25.0% | 5.9% |
| Jacob Granberry | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 11.5% | 76.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.