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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+1.75vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.17+2.53vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.50+0.77vs Predicted
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4Rice University0.75+2.67vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.42-1.21vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.45-2.25vs Predicted
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7University of Texas1.63-1.65vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.25-2.02vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.80-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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4.53Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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3.77Tulane University2.500.2%1st Place
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6.67Rice University0.750.0%1st Place
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3.79Tulane University2.420.2%1st Place
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3.75Tulane University2.450.2%1st Place
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5.35University of Texas1.630.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Wisconsin1.250.1%1st Place
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8.42Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 27.8% | 25.2% | 18.2% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 8.0% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Thad Lettsome | 15.7% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Ricky Miller | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 18.6% | 35.2% | 12.0% |
| Zander King | 16.3% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Kelly Holthus | 16.1% | 14.3% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Froelich | 7.0% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 21.6% | 13.8% | 2.3% |
| Charlie Herrick | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 21.4% | 24.1% | 6.1% |
| Jacob Granberry | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 9.9% | 77.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.