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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+2.38vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.37+0.91vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.86+0.78vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.39+0.62vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.16-1.71vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.84-0.56vs Predicted
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7Tulane University0.71-1.23vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-0.12-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38College of Charleston2.040.2%1st Place
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2.91Tulane University2.370.3%1st Place
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3.78University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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4.62Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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3.29Tulane University2.160.2%1st Place
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5.44Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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5.77Tulane University0.710.0%1st Place
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6.83Texas A&M University-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 18.9% | 18.8% | 19.0% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 25.7% | 21.6% | 20.0% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 15.0% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 18.7% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 5.7% |
| Caroline Benson | 18.9% | 21.8% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Fiona Froelich | 6.1% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 19.4% | 20.7% | 16.4% |
| Mira Herlihy | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 25.6% | 22.3% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 10.9% | 21.8% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.