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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.70+6.77vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.09+4.45vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.05+3.59vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.17+1.93vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+1.57vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.64+1.85vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles2.63+4.31vs Predicted
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8Cornell University3.27+1.03vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.78-1.75vs Predicted
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10University of Florida3.41-1.17vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.74-6.59vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University4.01-5.18vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan3.02-3.13vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota2.63-2.89vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.42-0.31vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.99-0.36vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University1.27-1.90vs Predicted
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18Ohio State University0.81-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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6.59Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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5.93Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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6.57Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.85College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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11.31University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
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9.03Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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7.25Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.83University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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4.41Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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6.82Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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11.11University of Minnesota2.630.0%1st Place
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14.69Tulane University1.420.0%1st Place
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15.64Western Washington University0.990.0%1st Place
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15.1Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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15.79Ohio State University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massimo Soriano | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Stokes | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 8.2% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Philip Alley | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 18.6% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Harrison Burton | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Philip Krause | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 21.1% | 18.2% | 15.1% |
| Ian Reeves | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 10.4% | 18.1% | 24.3% | 28.3% |
| Robert Long | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 12.4% | 19.2% | 23.0% | 19.8% |
| Sydney Rush | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 24.6% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.