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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.16+2.19vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.37+0.92vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.86+0.77vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.84+1.54vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.04-1.53vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.39-1.42vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.12-0.14vs Predicted
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8Tulane University0.71-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Tulane University2.160.2%1st Place
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2.92Tulane University2.370.3%1st Place
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3.77University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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5.54Jacksonville University0.840.0%1st Place
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3.47College of Charleston2.040.2%1st Place
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4.58Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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6.86Texas A&M University-0.120.0%1st Place
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5.66Tulane University0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 21.7% | 19.6% | 19.3% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Samantha Gardner | 25.7% | 21.6% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 14.8% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Fiona Froelich | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 25.1% | 15.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 16.9% | 19.4% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 13.2% | 6.4% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 17.3% | 56.3% |
| Mira Herlihy | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 27.1% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.