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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.37+1.85vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.86+1.80vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.39+1.54vs Predicted
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4Tulane University0.71+1.74vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.16-1.76vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.04-2.57vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.84-1.45vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-0.12-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Tulane University2.370.3%1st Place
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3.8University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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4.54Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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5.74Tulane University0.710.0%1st Place
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3.24Tulane University2.160.2%1st Place
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3.43College of Charleston2.040.2%1st Place
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5.55Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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6.84Texas A&M University-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gardner | 27.3% | 20.6% | 20.4% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 14.1% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 17.6% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 12.2% | 5.7% |
| Mira Herlihy | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 25.5% | 20.9% |
| Caroline Benson | 18.9% | 21.9% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 17.8% | 19.0% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Fiona Froelich | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 18.8% | 24.7% | 17.1% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 20.8% | 52.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.