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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+3.94vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+2.98vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.34+3.00vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.30+5.31vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.27+4.42vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+0.24vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.81+0.59vs Predicted
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8Cornell University0.47+3.98vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+0.43vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.15vs Predicted
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11Cornell University0.850.00vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.32-5.83vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.93-5.91vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.92+1.41vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.80-3.98vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.19+0.05vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.40-4.54vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.26-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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6.0Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.31Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.42Cornell University1.270.0%1st Place
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6.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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7.59Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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11.98Cornell University0.470.0%1st Place
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9.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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5.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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11.0Cornell University0.850.0%1st Place
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6.17Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.09Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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15.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.920.0%1st Place
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11.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.800.0%1st Place
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16.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.190.0%1st Place
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12.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.400.0%1st Place
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16.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 13.4% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Murray | 12.6% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pilar Cundey | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ava Grace Sannino | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 10.9% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maya Conway | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Carter | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 20.3% | 23.4% | 23.5% |
| Owen Carolan | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Bennett O'Keefe | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 14.5% | 27.7% | 34.5% |
| Owen Harrod | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 2.1% |
| Thomas Allison | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 14.6% | 27.4% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.