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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+4.10vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+3.85vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+1.84vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.93+3.12vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+1.14vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+3.53vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.32-1.12vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.80+2.94vs Predicted
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9Cornell University0.38+3.35vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.81-2.22vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.34-5.04vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.40+0.54vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.27-3.67vs Predicted
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14Cornell University0.85-3.40vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.19+1.02vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.26+0.13vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.30-7.49vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.92-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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5.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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4.84Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.12Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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9.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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5.88Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.800.0%1st Place
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12.35Cornell University0.380.0%1st Place
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7.78Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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5.96Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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12.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.400.0%1st Place
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9.33Cornell University1.270.0%1st Place
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10.6Cornell University0.850.0%1st Place
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16.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.190.0%1st Place
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16.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.260.0%1st Place
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9.51Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
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15.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 12.9% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 14.1% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Carolan | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Lane | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 18.5% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 1.7% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Harrod | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 2.4% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Maya Conway | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Bennett O'Keefe | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 16.5% | 26.4% | 34.6% |
| Thomas Allison | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 6.7% | 15.2% | 25.0% | 38.3% |
| Pilar Cundey | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Carter | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 20.5% | 26.1% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.