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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+3.90vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+4.25vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+2.76vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+0.86vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.93+2.12vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+3.48vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.81+0.59vs Predicted
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8Cornell University0.85+2.75vs Predicted
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9Cornell University0.38+3.36vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.34-4.00vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.30-1.50vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.32-5.81vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.19+2.89vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.80-3.21vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.92+0.57vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.40-3.63vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.27-7.38vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.26-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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5.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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4.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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7.12Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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7.59Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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10.75Cornell University0.850.0%1st Place
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12.36Cornell University0.380.0%1st Place
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6.0Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.5Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.19Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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15.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.190.0%1st Place
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10.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.800.0%1st Place
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15.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.920.0%1st Place
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12.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.400.0%1st Place
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9.62Cornell University1.270.0%1st Place
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15.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 13.1% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Murray | 15.0% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maya Conway | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Aidan Lane | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| Winborne Majette | 11.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pilar Cundey | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bennett O'Keefe | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 15.1% | 24.2% | 34.7% |
| Owen Carolan | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Carter | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 18.6% | 26.9% | 24.2% |
| Owen Harrod | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 2.5% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Allison | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 16.3% | 26.2% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.