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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy4.09+5.41vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.17+4.13vs Predicted
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3University of Florida3.41+5.84vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.78+3.19vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University4.01+1.43vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.74-1.74vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.70+0.54vs Predicted
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8Cornell University3.27+1.00vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.98-2.50vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.64-2.00vs Predicted
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11Stanford University4.05-4.55vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan3.02-1.76vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles2.63-1.89vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University1.27+0.95vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.42-0.19vs Predicted
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16Ohio State University0.81+0.07vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota1.75-2.95vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University2.02-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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6.13Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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8.84University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
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7.19Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.43Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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4.26Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.0Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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6.5Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.0College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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6.45Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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10.24University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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11.11University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
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14.95Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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14.81Tulane University1.420.0%1st Place
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16.07Ohio State University0.810.0%1st Place
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14.05University of Minnesota1.750.0%1st Place
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13.02Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Hayes | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Stokes | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 18.0% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Philip Alley | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Robert Long | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 24.4% | 19.6% |
| Philip Krause | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 18.8% | 20.6% | 18.3% |
| Sydney Rush | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 12.6% | 19.6% | 43.8% |
| Allison Prange | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 11.6% |
| Bryan Rust | 1.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.