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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.09+1.93vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.45+5.21vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.97+2.71vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.03+1.60vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.50-0.72vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.11+3.14vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.19+2.37vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.01+0.65vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.06-0.54vs Predicted
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10Bates College0.78-3.70vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College-0.01-2.21vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.52+0.95vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.50-2.75vs Predicted
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14Bates College-1.38-1.40vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.01-6.16vs Predicted
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16Bates College-2.61-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Bowdoin College2.090.3%1st Place
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7.21Bowdoin College0.450.1%1st Place
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5.71Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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5.6Bowdoin College1.030.1%1st Place
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4.28Bowdoin College1.500.1%1st Place
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9.14Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.37Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
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8.65Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
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8.46Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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6.3Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
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8.79Bowdoin College-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.95Bates College-1.520.0%1st Place
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10.25Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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12.6Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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8.84Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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14.94Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 30.4% | 21.4% | 18.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ted Lutton | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Timmy Gee | 8.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Posie Cabaniss | 14.9% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Stevenson | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Frary | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Griffen Horne | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Hyde | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Jett Lindelof | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kique Ruiz | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Ethan Baker | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 16.9% | 26.3% | 17.4% |
| Harrison Nash | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 17.9% | 25.9% | 11.9% |
| Isaac Thompson | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 7.1% | 16.3% | 64.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.