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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.26+0.70vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.45+5.32vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.06+5.61vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.78+2.52vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.03+0.67vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.50-1.47vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College-0.01+1.81vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.19+1.31vs Predicted
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9Bates College0.97-3.18vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.50+0.41vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.01-2.23vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.38+0.70vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.01-4.24vs Predicted
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14Bates College-1.52-1.02vs Predicted
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15Bates College-2.61-0.11vs Predicted
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16Bates College-0.11-6.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Bowdoin College3.260.6%1st Place
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7.32Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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8.61Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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6.52Bates College0.780.0%1st Place
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5.67Bowdoin College1.030.1%1st Place
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4.53Bowdoin College1.500.1%1st Place
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8.81Bowdoin College-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.31Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
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5.82Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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10.41Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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8.77Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
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12.7Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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8.76Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.98Bates College-1.520.0%1st Place
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14.89Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
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9.21Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bloom | 58.5% | 23.7% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 3.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Hyde | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Jett Lindelof | 3.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Timmy Gee | 5.4% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Posie Cabaniss | 9.2% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kique Ruiz | 2.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Frary | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Ted Lutton | 6.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Nash | 0.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
| Griffen Horne | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 18.5% | 24.6% | 14.6% |
| Isaac Thompson | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Baker | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 18.3% | 26.2% | 16.7% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 18.0% | 63.8% |
| Harry Stevenson | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.