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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+5.03vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+2.14vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.82+2.34vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.39-0.09vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+2.28vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+1.70vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-0.49vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.65+1.02vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+4.60vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+0.37vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.08+3.02vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.37-5.29vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.74-0.78vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.28-3.44vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.37-1.85vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.24-5.41vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.86-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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4.14Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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5.34Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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3.91Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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7.28St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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9.02North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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13.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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10.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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14.02University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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6.71Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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12.22Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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10.56Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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13.15Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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10.59University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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11.83University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 18.0% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 20.7% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 18.9% | 22.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 32.9% |
| Samantha Gardner | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 10.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Laura Smith | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 19.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| Mary Castellini | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.