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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+2.73vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+3.23vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.52vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+0.25vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55+1.02vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+0.61vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.08+6.95vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.37-1.37vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.65+0.29vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.74+2.15vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.28-0.51vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.37+1.22vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-2.51vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.43vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.86-3.24vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-8.53vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.24-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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5.23Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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4.25Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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6.02Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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13.95University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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6.63Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.29North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.15Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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10.49Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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13.22Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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10.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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13.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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7.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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10.61University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 21.2% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.2% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 21.6% | 27.3% |
| Samantha Gardner | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 2.3% |
| Laura Smith | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 20.7% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 24.3% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 7.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.