← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.23+3.11vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.39+1.70vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.47vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University1.28+6.32vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+1.32vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.82-0.59vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University0.74+5.10vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.55-1.98vs Predicted
-
9Tulane University2.37-2.14vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.73vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University0.37+2.25vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.63vs Predicted
-
13University of Wisconsin0.86-1.28vs Predicted
-
14North Carolina State University1.65-4.75vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.63vs Predicted
-
16University of South Florida1.24-5.50vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont0.08-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.11Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
-
3.7Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
-
7.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
-
10.32Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
-
6.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
-
5.41Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
12.1Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
-
6.02Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
-
6.86Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
-
7.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
-
13.25Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
-
11.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
-
11.72University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
-
9.25North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
-
13.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
-
10.5University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
-
13.98University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 19.4% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 21.3% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 8.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Laura Smith | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 18.1% | 20.8% |
| Brook Wood | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 5.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 21.9% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 20.1% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.