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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.27+8.37vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.64+6.13vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University4.01+3.87vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy4.09+2.28vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.17+1.03vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.74-1.65vs Predicted
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7Stanford University4.05-0.53vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota2.63+3.22vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles2.63+2.30vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.30-4.13vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.70-3.21vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.78-4.27vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan3.02-3.16vs Predicted
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14University of Florida3.41-5.54vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University1.27+0.06vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.42-1.25vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.99-1.30vs Predicted
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18Ohio State University0.81-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.37Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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8.13College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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6.87Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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6.03Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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4.35Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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6.47Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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11.22University of Minnesota2.630.0%1st Place
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11.3University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
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5.87Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.79Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.73Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
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15.06Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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14.75Tulane University1.420.0%1st Place
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15.7Western Washington University0.990.0%1st Place
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15.79Ohio State University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Alley | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mac Mace | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Stokes | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 15.7% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Burton | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| William Heausler | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Long | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 23.1% | 18.2% |
| Philip Krause | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 15.5% | 20.2% | 18.8% | 15.4% |
| Ian Reeves | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 23.2% | 30.6% |
| Sydney Rush | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 15.8% | 24.8% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.