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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+6.06vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+6.68vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.46+6.34vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.16+2.92vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.37+1.01vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.77vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+3.03vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.91-3.50vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.11-4.90vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+1.25vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.89-3.04vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.01-1.09vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.79-1.10vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.43-1.02vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.07-7.85vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.76-4.06vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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9.34North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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6.92Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.01Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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10.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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4.5Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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4.1Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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11.25St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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7.96University of South Florida1.890.1%1st Place
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10.91Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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11.9Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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12.98University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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7.15Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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11.94University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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14.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 1.7% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 18.1% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Freeman | 16.4% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Flack | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 6.7% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Megan Geith | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 10.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 18.5% | 18.7% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.4% |
| Katherine Mason | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 17.0% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.