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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.81+10.40vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.46+7.37vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.11+1.00vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.71vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.86+2.82vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.16+1.07vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.33-0.68vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.76+3.62vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.91-4.39vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.06-2.86vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-2.03vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-1.95vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.43-0.04vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.79-2.09vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-3.69vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.37-9.75vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.4Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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9.37North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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4.0Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.82University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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7.07Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.32Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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4.61Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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7.14Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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10.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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12.96University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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11.91Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.31St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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6.25Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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14.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianna Dewey | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 7.7% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 21.6% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 10.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 14.5% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 18.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 9.8% |
| Lily Flack | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 6.7% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 15.9% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.