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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.40+2.58vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.11+2.32vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.06+0.29vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.72-0.13vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.50-0.73vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.00-2.67vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-2.76vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University1.71-2.03vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Brown University3.400.2%1st Place
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4.32University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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4.29Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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4.87Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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5.27Bowdoin College2.500.1%1st Place
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4.33Yale University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.97Wesleyan University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Osvalds | 20.9% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Quentin Chafee | 12.0% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Eric Decesar | 14.3% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Peter Hughes | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 7.1% |
| Viktor Bolmgren | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 12.5% |
| Michael Hession | 14.0% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| William Cotta | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 9.1% |
| Dylan Griffin | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 17.9% | 38.9% |
| Michael Reney | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 19.9% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.