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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+8.11vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.02+6.27vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+7.11vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.10+6.92vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.22+7.78vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.77+2.37vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38+0.57vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.99+1.30vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.97+0.32vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.10+0.30vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.30-7.03vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.55-5.61vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.51-1.83vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.20-6.05vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.09-6.86vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.60-5.34vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.93-3.94vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.54-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.1%1st Place
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8.27Tulane University2.027.0%1st Place
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10.11College of Charleston1.814.2%1st Place
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10.92Harvard University2.103.6%1st Place
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12.78Northeastern University1.222.2%1st Place
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8.37University of Pennsylvania1.775.6%1st Place
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7.57Cornell University2.387.5%1st Place
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9.3Brown University1.994.5%1st Place
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9.32Roger Williams University1.975.1%1st Place
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10.3Dartmouth College2.104.0%1st Place
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3.97Stanford University3.3020.9%1st Place
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6.39Yale University2.558.6%1st Place
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11.17Bowdoin College1.513.3%1st Place
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7.95Georgetown University2.205.9%1st Place
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8.14Boston College2.095.8%1st Place
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10.66University of South Florida1.603.4%1st Place
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13.06George Washington University0.931.8%1st Place
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13.58Tufts University0.541.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 17.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Bridget Green | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Young | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 20.9% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 20.0% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.