← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.64+7.11vs Predicted
-
2Brown University4.30+3.84vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University4.17+3.26vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy4.09+2.27vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College3.78+2.31vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University4.74-1.61vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University3.70+0.67vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University4.05-1.59vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles2.63+2.35vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University4.01-3.11vs Predicted
-
11Cornell University3.27-1.73vs Predicted
-
12University of Minnesota2.63-0.40vs Predicted
-
13University of Michigan3.02-3.12vs Predicted
-
14University of Florida3.41-5.56vs Predicted
-
15Western Washington University0.99+0.64vs Predicted
-
16Tulane University1.42-1.23vs Predicted
-
17Texas A&M University1.27-1.90vs Predicted
-
18Ohio State University0.81-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.11College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
-
5.84Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
6.26Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
-
6.27U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
-
7.31Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
-
4.39Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
-
7.67Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
-
6.41Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
-
11.35University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
-
6.89Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
-
9.27Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
-
11.6University of Minnesota2.630.0%1st Place
-
9.88University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
-
8.44University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
-
15.64Western Washington University0.990.0%1st Place
-
14.77Tulane University1.420.0%1st Place
-
15.1Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
-
15.8Ohio State University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Stokes | 8.4% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 16.8% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Alley | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Harrison Burton | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| William Heausler | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Reeves | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 17.4% | 23.7% | 28.3% |
| Philip Krause | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 19.4% | 15.3% |
| Robert Long | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 13.3% | 18.5% | 22.2% | 20.2% |
| Sydney Rush | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 15.4% | 23.4% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.