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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.33+5.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+6.71vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.16+3.85vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.72vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.79+6.61vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.86+2.13vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.91-2.50vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.11-4.05vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.37-2.68vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.76+1.76vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.46-1.46vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.43+0.86vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.81-1.26vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.06-6.71vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-4.98vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-1.48vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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6.85Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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7.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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11.61Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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8.13University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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4.5Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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3.95Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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6.32Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.76University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.54North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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12.86University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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11.74Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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10.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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14.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.38St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Hemans | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 8.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 15.1% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Freeman | 21.7% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 9.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 18.8% | 17.5% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Katherine Mason | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 40.3% |
| Lily Flack | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.