Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Andy Yu 14.5% 14.7% 13.1% 12.4% 14.0% 8.8% 9.0% 5.6% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Clark Morris 14.2% 11.6% 15.6% 14.1% 11.1% 9.3% 8.7% 6.9% 3.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Caitlin Derby 3.3% 3.1% 3.7% 5.2% 6.6% 8.0% 8.2% 8.7% 10.5% 12.8% 12.0% 10.9% 7.0%
Nathan Selian 7.0% 8.9% 8.8% 11.1% 9.8% 9.9% 10.6% 9.6% 9.1% 6.3% 5.9% 2.5% 0.5%
Nick Budington 16.6% 17.9% 14.8% 11.6% 11.1% 10.8% 7.2% 3.7% 3.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Kurt Stuebe 19.7% 18.5% 14.7% 12.5% 11.7% 8.7% 6.0% 3.9% 2.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Meredith Broadus 6.6% 6.5% 7.3% 7.2% 6.3% 10.0% 8.6% 10.7% 11.8% 9.1% 7.7% 5.9% 2.3%
Isabella Cho 2.2% 2.9% 3.1% 3.5% 3.7% 4.8% 5.6% 7.3% 8.8% 10.7% 12.7% 18.7% 16.0%
Gavin Monaghan 4.7% 4.7% 4.4% 5.9% 6.7% 8.4% 8.7% 11.0% 10.6% 9.8% 12.4% 7.4% 5.3%
Daniel van Heeckeren 4.3% 4.5% 4.1% 4.8% 5.2% 6.8% 10.1% 10.3% 9.5% 10.3% 11.1% 9.9% 9.1%
Willem Weinberg 3.7% 3.6% 6.0% 6.0% 6.9% 7.9% 7.1% 9.9% 11.6% 11.4% 10.6% 9.5% 5.8%
Nathan Hyde 1.8% 2.1% 2.6% 3.6% 3.8% 4.1% 5.6% 6.7% 8.0% 11.6% 12.6% 16.2% 21.3%
Ted Richardsson 1.4% 1.0% 1.8% 2.1% 3.1% 2.5% 4.6% 5.7% 6.1% 9.6% 12.3% 17.3% 32.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.