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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.50+4.29vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.27+7.62vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.74+1.55vs Predicted
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4Stanford University4.05+2.51vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University2.02+8.30vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.30-0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Florida3.41+1.88vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota2.63+3.46vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles2.63+2.55vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University4.01-3.02vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.64-2.85vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.78-4.11vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan3.02-2.96vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy4.09-7.72vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.56-6.70vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University1.27-0.67vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.42-1.95vs Predicted
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18Ohio State University0.81-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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9.62Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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4.55Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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6.51Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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13.3Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
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5.81Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.88University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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11.46University of Minnesota2.630.0%1st Place
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11.55University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
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6.98Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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8.15College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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7.89Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.04University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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8.3Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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15.33Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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15.05Tulane University1.420.0%1st Place
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16.02Ohio State University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tedd Himler | 12.1% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Alley | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Chris Barnard | 15.5% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Rust | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 6.7% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Burton | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Clark Hayes | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Long | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 17.9% | 25.4% | 24.4% |
| Philip Krause | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 17.7% | 22.8% | 22.2% |
| Sydney Rush | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 12.4% | 21.3% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.