Race 2A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Andy Yu 14.4% 14.9% 13.5% 12.8% 12.4% 9.5% 7.6% 7.5% 3.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Kurt Stuebe 18.7% 17.4% 16.1% 14.8% 9.5% 8.6% 5.9% 4.7% 2.4% 1.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Caitlin Derby 2.6% 3.3% 4.2% 5.0% 6.5% 7.5% 8.5% 9.2% 12.1% 10.6% 13.2% 10.1% 7.2%
Nick Budington 16.5% 15.7% 14.3% 13.8% 11.7% 10.0% 6.5% 6.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Meredith Broadus 6.6% 6.1% 6.8% 7.4% 9.4% 8.0% 9.9% 10.2% 11.3% 9.0% 8.2% 4.4% 2.7%
Nathan Selian 8.3% 8.0% 10.3% 9.6% 11.4% 10.5% 10.3% 8.8% 7.5% 8.2% 4.0% 2.6% 0.5%
Clark Morris 15.9% 14.4% 12.0% 11.4% 11.4% 12.6% 8.0% 5.9% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Nathan Hyde 2.4% 2.7% 2.6% 3.4% 3.5% 3.9% 4.9% 8.0% 9.6% 9.5% 13.3% 17.8% 18.4%
Daniel van Heeckeren 3.5% 4.0% 4.2% 5.3% 5.5% 6.2% 9.2% 9.2% 10.5% 12.0% 12.1% 10.3% 8.0%
Isabella Cho 2.5% 3.1% 2.6% 3.1% 3.0% 4.7% 7.0% 7.2% 9.3% 10.6% 12.6% 15.4% 18.9%
Gavin Monaghan 5.0% 4.7% 6.5% 6.0% 8.2% 7.2% 10.6% 10.1% 10.4% 10.6% 9.7% 6.4% 4.6%
Willem Weinberg 2.4% 4.3% 4.7% 5.4% 5.4% 7.8% 7.3% 8.1% 10.1% 13.0% 11.5% 11.9% 8.1%
Ted Richardsson 1.2% 1.4% 2.2% 2.0% 2.1% 3.5% 4.3% 5.0% 5.6% 9.7% 12.1% 19.4% 31.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.