Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nick Budington 16.9% 15.5% 15.0% 13.6% 11.6% 9.5% 7.4% 5.1% 2.8% 1.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Meredith Broadus 5.2% 5.2% 7.3% 7.8% 7.8% 9.8% 10.2% 10.6% 10.9% 9.6% 7.3% 5.8% 2.5%
Nathan Selian 6.0% 8.8% 9.7% 10.7% 8.8% 11.3% 10.6% 11.0% 8.1% 6.7% 4.5% 3.1% 0.7%
Clark Morris 14.6% 14.3% 13.4% 12.1% 11.2% 10.7% 7.0% 7.8% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.3%
Andy Yu 15.9% 14.3% 14.2% 11.9% 11.9% 10.5% 8.5% 5.2% 3.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Gavin Monaghan 4.4% 5.1% 5.8% 5.4% 7.9% 8.2% 8.6% 9.9% 10.9% 11.4% 9.2% 9.7% 3.5%
Kurt Stuebe 19.7% 18.2% 13.9% 14.0% 11.8% 8.1% 6.7% 3.2% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Isabella Cho 2.3% 2.7% 3.2% 3.6% 3.6% 4.9% 4.4% 7.2% 10.5% 10.1% 14.4% 16.6% 16.5%
Willem Weinberg 3.4% 4.9% 3.9% 4.6% 6.6% 6.5% 7.8% 8.7% 10.2% 13.5% 10.9% 11.1% 7.9%
Caitlin Derby 4.7% 4.0% 3.6% 4.3% 6.2% 7.0% 9.1% 8.8% 10.5% 11.0% 11.7% 9.9% 9.2%
Daniel van Heeckeren 3.9% 3.1% 5.8% 6.7% 6.6% 6.3% 9.7% 10.4% 9.9% 11.2% 11.8% 8.4% 6.2%
Nathan Hyde 1.7% 2.7% 1.9% 3.4% 3.8% 4.3% 5.8% 6.3% 8.8% 9.9% 14.2% 15.5% 21.7%
Ted Richardsson 1.3% 1.2% 2.3% 1.9% 2.2% 2.9% 4.2% 5.8% 7.1% 8.5% 12.2% 19.0% 31.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.