Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kurt Stuebe 19.9% 15.8% 17.2% 13.6% 9.7% 8.6% 7.2% 3.5% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1%
Nathan Selian 7.0% 8.0% 9.5% 10.0% 11.5% 9.1% 12.4% 8.8% 7.4% 7.1% 5.3% 2.9% 1.0%
Andy Yu 14.6% 14.0% 14.0% 12.4% 11.0% 11.4% 8.5% 6.0% 4.4% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Clark Morris 14.2% 13.5% 14.6% 13.2% 10.3% 10.7% 8.8% 6.2% 4.4% 2.3% 1.4% 0.1% 0.3%
Nick Budington 17.8% 17.1% 13.9% 11.8% 13.1% 9.2% 6.6% 5.3% 1.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Meredith Broadus 6.3% 5.8% 6.5% 7.6% 9.1% 8.9% 10.8% 10.1% 10.9% 8.4% 8.0% 4.5% 3.1%
Gavin Monaghan 5.8% 4.6% 5.7% 6.4% 7.0% 6.6% 8.4% 11.9% 10.8% 10.3% 9.8% 8.9% 3.8%
Isabella Cho 2.1% 3.5% 2.9% 3.3% 3.3% 4.6% 4.4% 9.0% 9.0% 10.7% 12.8% 16.6% 17.8%
Willem Weinberg 3.5% 3.7% 4.4% 5.0% 6.3% 7.3% 8.4% 9.0% 9.9% 13.0% 10.5% 10.1% 8.9%
Nathan Hyde 1.9% 3.5% 2.6% 3.2% 3.9% 4.7% 4.5% 6.8% 9.5% 10.5% 12.0% 16.5% 20.4%
Ted Richardsson 1.2% 1.5% 2.1% 2.8% 3.1% 3.8% 5.1% 5.1% 6.9% 9.9% 13.6% 17.0% 27.9%
Caitlin Derby 2.8% 4.5% 3.3% 5.3% 5.9% 7.9% 7.1% 7.9% 11.5% 10.9% 13.5% 10.1% 9.3%
Daniel van Heeckeren 2.9% 4.5% 3.3% 5.4% 5.8% 7.2% 7.8% 10.4% 11.0% 11.1% 10.9% 12.4% 7.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.