Race 5A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nick Budington 16.6% 17.1% 14.4% 12.2% 11.5% 10.5% 7.1% 4.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Andy Yu 15.3% 14.7% 13.4% 11.8% 12.4% 10.1% 7.9% 6.6% 3.7% 1.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Nathan Selian 7.6% 7.6% 10.0% 9.3% 10.3% 10.8% 10.6% 9.8% 8.9% 6.6% 5.3% 2.1% 1.1%
Clark Morris 14.8% 13.3% 11.9% 14.5% 10.9% 10.0% 8.6% 7.2% 5.4% 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Isabella Cho 2.6% 2.5% 3.1% 3.0% 4.6% 5.4% 6.4% 6.8% 7.8% 10.8% 12.9% 17.6% 16.5%
Nathan Hyde 1.8% 2.7% 2.6% 3.7% 3.5% 4.2% 5.8% 7.2% 8.0% 11.0% 14.7% 16.7% 18.1%
Caitlin Derby 4.7% 3.8% 5.2% 5.4% 6.5% 5.8% 7.8% 9.1% 9.8% 11.4% 12.9% 11.0% 6.6%
Meredith Broadus 5.9% 5.5% 6.3% 7.2% 8.1% 9.8% 9.7% 10.5% 12.4% 9.2% 7.1% 5.2% 3.1%
Daniel van Heeckeren 4.0% 3.9% 3.7% 6.8% 4.6% 5.6% 8.0% 9.1% 10.5% 13.4% 11.4% 10.3% 8.7%
Willem Weinberg 4.5% 4.1% 4.2% 4.8% 7.0% 5.9% 9.3% 8.4% 10.2% 12.7% 10.4% 10.5% 8.0%
Gavin Monaghan 4.4% 4.3% 7.0% 6.6% 7.0% 7.7% 9.5% 11.4% 11.1% 11.3% 8.8% 7.2% 3.7%
Ted Richardsson 0.9% 1.7% 2.1% 2.3% 3.0% 3.9% 3.3% 5.7% 6.2% 7.7% 11.8% 17.5% 33.9%
Kurt Stuebe 16.9% 18.8% 16.1% 12.4% 10.6% 10.3% 6.0% 4.1% 2.2% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.