Race 6A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nick Budington 17.2% 15.7% 15.1% 13.8% 10.6% 9.4% 7.9% 4.8% 3.0% 1.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Andy Yu 13.9% 15.7% 13.3% 15.3% 10.7% 10.6% 6.9% 6.6% 3.2% 2.0% 0.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Kurt Stuebe 19.6% 17.0% 16.3% 11.9% 11.6% 9.9% 6.2% 3.1% 2.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Clark Morris 14.3% 13.3% 13.5% 13.9% 12.2% 9.0% 8.6% 8.0% 3.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.3%
Isabella Cho 2.9% 2.6% 2.6% 4.0% 4.0% 4.8% 7.4% 7.5% 9.0% 10.5% 15.0% 18.2% 11.5%
Daniel van Heeckeren 4.6% 3.8% 3.8% 5.0% 6.7% 7.9% 9.1% 7.8% 12.3% 11.6% 11.9% 10.5% 5.0%
Meredith Broadus 7.1% 5.3% 8.6% 6.5% 7.7% 8.2% 10.3% 12.6% 10.2% 9.1% 7.6% 5.7% 1.1%
Willem Weinberg 3.6% 5.2% 4.3% 4.5% 6.1% 7.1% 7.4% 10.8% 12.7% 11.4% 11.5% 10.6% 4.8%
Gavin Monaghan 4.6% 4.6% 5.5% 7.0% 6.1% 8.1% 9.5% 9.8% 10.3% 12.0% 9.7% 9.2% 3.6%
Brendan OBrien 0.7% 0.7% 1.6% 1.5% 1.4% 2.1% 2.4% 1.7% 4.5% 5.4% 9.7% 13.4% 54.9%
Nathan Hyde 1.8% 2.3% 3.0% 3.3% 4.5% 5.5% 6.2% 7.4% 9.1% 12.1% 14.7% 17.5% 12.6%
Caitlin Derby 2.6% 4.4% 4.1% 5.1% 6.7% 6.4% 7.5% 9.1% 11.9% 13.5% 11.9% 11.1% 5.7%
Nathan Selian 7.1% 9.4% 8.3% 8.2% 11.7% 11.0% 10.6% 10.8% 7.8% 7.8% 4.5% 2.4% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.