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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.93+3.36vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.23+1.64vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+1.27vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.59+3.87vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.36+0.67vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.77+1.28vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.10-3.08vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.00-1.36vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.11+0.07vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.06-0.83vs Predicted
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11Brown University-0.22-1.29vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.57-3.96vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.95-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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3.64Tufts University2.230.2%1st Place
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4.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Rhode Island0.590.0%1st Place
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5.67Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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7.28Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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3.92Boston College2.100.2%1st Place
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6.64Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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9.07Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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9.17Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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9.71Brown University-0.220.0%1st Place
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8.04University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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11.38University of New Hampshire-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 14.5% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 20.5% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andy Yu | 14.5% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Willem Weinberg | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 3.9% |
| Nathan Selian | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| Nick Budington | 18.7% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Isabella Cho | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 10.7% |
| Nathan Hyde | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 12.7% |
| Ali Zaidi | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 15.3% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 4.5% |
| Brendan OBrien | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 17.8% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.