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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+2.72vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.10+1.97vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+1.28vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.06+5.21vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.93-0.68vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.36-0.28vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.57+0.74vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.77-0.75vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.59-1.13vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.00-3.33vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.11-2.08vs Predicted
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12Brown University-0.22-2.05vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.95-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Tufts University2.230.2%1st Place
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3.97Boston College2.100.2%1st Place
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4.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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9.21Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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4.32Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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5.72Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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7.74University of Vermont0.570.1%1st Place
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7.25Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Rhode Island0.590.0%1st Place
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6.67Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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8.92Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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9.95Brown University-0.220.0%1st Place
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11.38University of New Hampshire-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Stuebe | 20.0% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Budington | 17.2% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andy Yu | 14.1% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 11.3% |
| Clark Morris | 14.2% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Caitlin Derby | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 2.6% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Willem Weinberg | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 3.6% |
| Meredith Broadus | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Isabella Cho | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 8.4% |
| Ali Zaidi | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 21.0% | 20.3% |
| Brendan OBrien | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 17.5% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.