Race 9A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Andy Yu 15.6% 13.3% 14.3% 14.3% 12.5% 9.7% 7.1% 6.9% 3.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Clark Morris 13.2% 15.9% 14.1% 14.1% 11.5% 9.5% 8.7% 6.8% 3.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Kurt Stuebe 19.6% 18.1% 15.3% 13.0% 12.6% 9.0% 4.9% 4.4% 1.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Nick Budington 17.9% 16.2% 15.8% 13.9% 10.2% 9.1% 7.5% 4.4% 3.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
Gavin Monaghan 5.2% 4.8% 6.4% 7.7% 7.4% 8.7% 9.0% 10.8% 12.4% 11.4% 8.3% 5.6% 2.3%
Caitlin Derby 4.2% 3.7% 4.2% 5.5% 7.5% 8.1% 8.6% 10.6% 12.5% 12.3% 10.0% 9.9% 2.9%
Isabella Cho 3.0% 3.1% 2.5% 3.9% 4.6% 5.3% 7.1% 7.7% 9.8% 11.8% 15.8% 15.2% 10.2%
Nathan Selian 8.1% 9.6% 8.9% 9.0% 10.4% 11.9% 12.0% 10.6% 9.0% 4.9% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3%
Meredith Broadus 5.3% 6.6% 7.9% 6.4% 8.8% 9.8% 12.2% 10.0% 10.7% 9.6% 7.2% 3.8% 1.7%
Nathan Hyde 3.0% 2.3% 2.6% 2.8% 4.0% 5.5% 6.7% 7.3% 10.0% 12.8% 14.1% 16.5% 12.4%
Ali Zaidi 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 3.8% 3.4% 4.1% 4.9% 7.1% 8.9% 11.6% 14.5% 20.7% 16.3%
Willem Weinberg 2.7% 4.3% 5.2% 4.7% 5.6% 7.8% 9.3% 10.1% 11.6% 13.3% 13.3% 8.7% 3.4%
Brendan OBrien 0.7% 0.5% 1.2% 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 2.0% 3.3% 4.2% 6.1% 11.1% 17.0% 50.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.