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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.74+2.28vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.54+2.95vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.69-0.67vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.46+1.17vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy-0.77+3.01vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29-0.40vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.81-2.80vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.34-2.64vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.78-4.83vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.12-4.07vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.80-1.19vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.83-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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5.95University of Rhode Island0.540.1%1st Place
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3.33Tufts University1.690.2%1st Place
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6.17University of Vermont0.460.1%1st Place
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9.01Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
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6.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.1%1st Place
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5.2Tufts University0.810.1%1st Place
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6.36Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.17Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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6.93Northeastern University0.120.1%1st Place
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10.81University of New Hampshire-1.800.0%1st Place
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9.2Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Owen | 23.3% | 20.5% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 5.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 23.7% | 19.7% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sandra Yale | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Anna LaDue | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 18.2% | 23.8% | 16.0% |
| Lucas Escandon | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Annecy Kagan | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Renato Korzinek | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Charles Case | 8.1% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Sylvia Burns | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 2.3% |
| Cameron McLean | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 18.1% | 59.2% |
| Nicholas David | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 26.9% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.