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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Tufts University1.74+1.27vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.69+0.32vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.81+1.26vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.34+1.47vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.54-0.06vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.46-0.87vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29-1.57vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.78-3.78vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.12-3.14vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.80-0.31vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.83-2.72vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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3.32Tufts University1.690.2%1st Place
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5.26Tufts University0.810.1%1st Place
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6.47Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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5.94University of Rhode Island0.540.1%1st Place
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6.13University of Vermont0.460.1%1st Place
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6.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.1%1st Place
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5.22Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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6.86Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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10.69University of New Hampshire-1.800.0%1st Place
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9.28Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
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9.12Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Owen | 23.1% | 19.0% | 19.9% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 23.5% | 20.3% | 17.4% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annecy Kagan | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Renato Korzinek | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Sandra Yale | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Escandon | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 1.4% |
| Charles Case | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Sylvia Burns | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 2.0% |
| Cameron McLean | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 16.2% | 57.9% |
| Nicholas David | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 18.9% | 24.6% | 18.4% |
| Anna LaDue | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 25.8% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.