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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Tufts University1.69+1.36vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.74+0.23vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.81+1.33vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.78+0.37vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.34+0.49vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.46-0.79vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.12-1.11vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.41-0.74vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.80+0.83vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29-4.46vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.54-5.85vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.83-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Tufts University1.690.2%1st Place
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3.23Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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5.33Tufts University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.37Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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6.49Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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6.21University of Vermont0.460.1%1st Place
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6.89Northeastern University0.120.1%1st Place
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8.26Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.0%1st Place
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10.83University of New Hampshire-1.800.0%1st Place
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6.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Rhode Island0.540.1%1st Place
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9.32Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gus Macaulay | 21.7% | 20.0% | 18.5% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 24.2% | 21.4% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annecy Kagan | 10.4% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Charles Case | 7.7% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Renato Korzinek | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
| Sandra Yale | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Sylvia Burns | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 3.0% |
| Griffin Stolp | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 20.0% | 9.6% |
| Cameron McLean | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 9.1% | 15.8% | 60.1% |
| Lucas Escandon | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 6.7% | 5.6% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas David | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 28.1% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.