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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Tufts University1.69+1.42vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.74+0.27vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.34+2.50vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy-0.41+3.38vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.78-0.58vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.81-1.70vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29-1.47vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.12-2.00vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.54-4.18vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.46-4.89vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.83-2.62vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.80-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Tufts University1.690.2%1st Place
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3.27Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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6.5Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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8.38Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.42Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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5.3Tufts University0.810.1%1st Place
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6.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.1%1st Place
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7.0Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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5.82University of Rhode Island0.540.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Vermont0.460.1%1st Place
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9.38Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
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10.88University of New Hampshire-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gus Macaulay | 21.6% | 17.9% | 20.0% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 23.7% | 22.5% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Renato Korzinek | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Griffin Stolp | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 18.3% | 18.6% | 9.1% |
| Charles Case | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Annecy Kagan | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Escandon | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Sylvia Burns | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 3.5% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Sandra Yale | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas David | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 27.0% | 21.0% |
| Cameron McLean | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 7.0% | 18.6% | 60.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.