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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Tufts University1.74+1.41vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy-0.77+6.12vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.34+2.62vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.78+0.53vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.13-1.39vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.69-3.53vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29-1.41vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.54-3.00vs Predicted
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10Boston University-0.83-0.79vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.81-5.58vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.80-1.15vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.12-5.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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9.12Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
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6.62Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.53Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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4.61University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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3.47Tufts University1.690.2%1st Place
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6.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Rhode Island0.540.1%1st Place
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9.21Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
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5.42Tufts University0.810.1%1st Place
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10.85University of New Hampshire-1.800.0%1st Place
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7.17Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Owen | 21.8% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 15.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Anna LaDue | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 17.2% | 27.1% | 14.4% |
| Renato Korzinek | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Charles Case | 6.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Cooper Smith | 11.6% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Gus Macaulay | 22.2% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Escandon | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas David | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 25.7% | 16.0% |
| Annecy Kagan | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Cameron McLean | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 16.2% | 61.3% |
| Sylvia Burns | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.