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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.44+1.39vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.74+1.44vs Predicted
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3Boston University-0.83+6.10vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.27+2.70vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.34+1.45vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29+0.66vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.69-3.53vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy-0.77+0.91vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.54-3.12vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.03-2.83vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.80-0.22vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.12-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39Boston College2.440.3%1st Place
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3.44Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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9.1Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
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6.7Brown University0.270.0%1st Place
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6.45Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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6.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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3.47Tufts University1.690.2%1st Place
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8.91Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
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5.88University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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7.17Tufts University0.030.0%1st Place
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10.78University of New Hampshire-1.800.0%1st Place
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7.05Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Busch | 34.7% | 27.5% | 18.0% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 19.0% | 18.4% | 19.2% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas David | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 18.0% | 25.8% | 15.5% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 2.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Renato Korzinek | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Lucas Escandon | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Gus Macaulay | 20.0% | 17.3% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 21.7% | 15.5% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Greta Traver | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Cameron McLean | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 18.1% | 58.3% |
| Sylvia Burns | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.