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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.44+1.35vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.74+1.49vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.69+0.52vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.34+2.59vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29+1.70vs Predicted
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6Boston University-0.83+3.24vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.54-1.01vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.12-0.97vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.03-1.80vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.27-3.37vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.41-2.59vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.80-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Boston College2.440.4%1st Place
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3.49Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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3.52Tufts University1.690.2%1st Place
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6.59Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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9.24Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
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5.99University of Rhode Island0.540.1%1st Place
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7.03Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University0.030.0%1st Place
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6.63Brown University0.270.0%1st Place
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8.41Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.0%1st Place
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10.84University of New Hampshire-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Busch | 35.8% | 27.7% | 17.8% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 17.5% | 19.0% | 21.1% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 18.2% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Renato Korzinek | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 1.5% |
| Lucas Escandon | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas David | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 15.8% | 26.4% | 17.8% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Sylvia Burns | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 3.5% |
| Greta Traver | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 2.1% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Griffin Stolp | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 18.0% | 18.5% | 8.7% |
| Cameron McLean | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 15.0% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.