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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.44+1.37vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.69+1.60vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.74+0.41vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.34+2.59vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy-0.41+3.27vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.03+1.36vs Predicted
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7Boston University-0.83+2.14vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.27-1.35vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.54-3.03vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.80+0.71vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.12-3.79vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Boston College2.440.4%1st Place
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3.6Tufts University1.690.2%1st Place
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3.41Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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6.59Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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8.27Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.0%1st Place
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7.36Tufts University0.030.0%1st Place
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9.14Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
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6.65Brown University0.270.0%1st Place
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5.97University of Rhode Island0.540.1%1st Place
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10.71University of New Hampshire-1.800.0%1st Place
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7.21Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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6.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Busch | 36.5% | 26.9% | 18.1% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 16.3% | 19.9% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 19.4% | 17.4% | 20.0% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Renato Korzinek | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Griffin Stolp | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 19.2% | 8.8% |
| Greta Traver | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 3.3% |
| Nicholas David | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 25.1% | 19.1% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Cameron McLean | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 14.3% | 59.7% |
| Sylvia Burns | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 2.6% |
| Lucas Escandon | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.