← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.44+1.29vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.69+1.43vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.74+0.46vs Predicted
-
4Boston University0.34+2.43vs Predicted
-
5Boston University-0.83+3.58vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29+0.40vs Predicted
-
7Brown University0.27-0.75vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University0.12-1.43vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island0.54-3.16vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University0.03-3.17vs Predicted
-
11University of New Hampshire-1.80-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.29Boston College2.440.4%1st Place
-
3.43Tufts University1.690.2%1st Place
-
3.46Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
-
6.43Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
-
8.58Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
-
6.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
-
6.25Brown University0.270.0%1st Place
-
6.57Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
-
5.84University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
-
6.83Tufts University0.030.0%1st Place
-
9.93University of New Hampshire-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Busch | 37.8% | 25.2% | 18.7% | 11.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 18.4% | 20.6% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 16.4% | 19.1% | 21.0% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Renato Korzinek | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 2.7% |
| Nicholas David | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 27.9% | 22.0% |
| Lucas Escandon | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
| Sylvia Burns | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 2.7% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Greta Traver | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 3.8% |
| Cameron McLean | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 16.0% | 61.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.