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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.66+1.35vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.32-0.25vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.53+1.35vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.04-0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.43-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35University of Washington0.660.3%1st Place
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1.75University of Washington1.320.5%1st Place
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4.35Western Washington University-1.530.0%1st Place
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3.97University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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2.58University of Washington0.430.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Thomas | 26.4% | 30.1% | 29.1% | 11.2% | 3.2% |
| Benjamin Stone | 48.7% | 31.8% | 15.2% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Annelisa Ayars | 2.3% | 3.7% | 9.1% | 26.7% | 58.2% |
| Kieran Lyons | 3.7% | 6.9% | 12.9% | 42.0% | 34.5% |
| Maxwell Miller | 18.9% | 27.5% | 33.7% | 16.0% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.